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Kerala
By C. Gouridasan Nair
The Ernakulam Lok Sabha constituency is one dominated by the Latin Catholic community and the candidates of both the ruling UDF and the Opposition LDF belong to this numerically powerful section. However, what could prove decisive in the constituency is the simmering discontent in the minds of Muslims about the Government's failure to rehabilitate some 400 families that are having a torrid time in relief camps. The Congress knows the danger of Marad rehabilitation becoming a major campaign plank in the constituency which has a sizeable population of Muslims spread over its various Assembly segments such as Mattancherry, Ernakulam and Aluva. Traditionally, the Muslims in Ernakulam have voted with the Congress and the UDF. The Indian National League (INL) has already declared its support for the LDF candidate, Sebastian Paul. The National Development Front (NDF) has also dropped enough hints that it would use the by-election to settle scores with the UDF for the way the Marad issue was being handled. Although these outfits do not have a large mass base in the constituency, any forceful campaign intervention by either of them would sway the Muslim electorate in Ernakulam numbering around two lakhs. The Karunakaran camp had sensed the potency of the Marad rehabilitation issue ahead of the others. The KPCC president, K. Muraleedharan, had gone public with the demand that the rehabilitation should take place without any further delay. That had clearly put the Government in a spot. With the Sangh Parivar outfits clamouring for a CBI inquiry as a kind of quid pro quo to allow rehabilitation, the Antony regime has been struggling to find a meeting point to the vexed issue. The Cabinet decision on Friday to complete the rehabilitation by October 2 is seen by many as having come a day too late. One line of thinking is that it would only antagonise the Sangh Parivar without a commensurate shift in favour of the UDF.
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