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By Sridhar Krishnaswami
The formalisation of the `deal' is still some months away but already analysts and media pundits are talking about the implications of all this to the Government and politics of Canada. The timing of the merger proposal is significant as well, for it comes when the Liberal Party is getting ready to bid goodbye to the Prime Minister, Jean Chretien, now making his `farewell' calls in the Asia-Pacific. Mr. Chretien will be succeeded by Paul Martin, who is well known for his fiscal conservatism, a challenge of sorts to the Conservatives, to start with. Mr. Martin, the thinking goes, is almost sure to call for elections in the spring of next year which in turn added an element of urgency for the Conservatives to sit back and wonder if sniping at themselves on the sidelines is going to do any good at all when the numbers make all the difference in the House of Commons. Between them, the Progressive Conservatives and the Canadian Alliance have about 80 seats in the 301-member House of Commons with the Liberals at a comfortable 170 seats. The race for the numbers for 2004 may have been a factor in the Conservatives' calculations, but for the immediate, the leadership has something else in mind to worry about. In the last few days, analysts and those in the media have been reminding the Tory leader, Peter MacKay, and his Alliance counterpart, Stephen Harper, of the need to sew up the merger with as little political bloodletting as possible; and the profound implications of any failure on this challenge.
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