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The methodology

This analysis is based on a post-election survey conducted by the Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS), Delhi, exclusively for The Hindu. The field work for the survey was conducted between November 24 and 28. The voters were interviewed in their homes soon after the voting was over on November 20. The field work was completed before counting began on December 2. The interviews were conducted using a standard, structured questionnaire. In order to maintain confidentiality, dummy ballot papers and dummy ballot boxes were used while eliciting from respondents the answer to the voting question.

The sample was selected in three stages. First, the Assembly constituencies were selected. Then the localities where the survey would be done were chosen. Then, the respondents were identified.

In Mizoram, the survey was conducted in a sample of 20 Assembly constituencies out of the total of 40.

In the second stage of sampling, in each of the 20 Assembly constituencies four localities were randomly selected, the number adding up to 80. In the third stage of sampling, respondents were randomly selected from the electoral rolls of the chosen localities.

In order to account for any non-response from the chosen voters, a slightly higher number of respondents was selected than the actual number of interviews that were expected to be conducted. Of the total of 1,600 respondents, 1,117 were interviewed in Mizoram.

A team of 40 field investigators and two supervisors conducted the field work.

The central team at the CSDS comprised Himanshu Bhattacharya, Banasmita Bora, Chetan Bahrmoria, Abhay Datar, K.A.Q.A. Hilal, Bhaskar Jha, Purushottam Kumarr Jha, Dhananjai Joshi, Rajat Joshi, Manoj Kumar, Kanchan Malhotra and Ved Prakash.

Similar analyses pertaining to Delhi, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh were published in these columns on December 8, 9, 10 and 11. This marks the conclusion of the series.

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