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Hotter summers more likely

London: The risk of scorching summers, similar to the heat-wave of August 2003, has more than doubled due to the impact of human activity, according to a study released on Wednesday. The findings, reported in the journal Nature, provide further evidence of a link between emissions of greenhouse gases — caused by burning fossil fuels — and warming of the environment. Temperatures last year were probably the highest in Europe for over 500 years, the research by Peter Stott from the Met Office's Hadley Centre and Daith Stone and Myles Allen of the University of Oxford showed. The heat was linked to an excess of more than 27,000 deaths across the continent. The study manipulated sophisticated computer models of the climate in an attempt to separate out human influences from the natural variability of the weather. ``Our best estimate is that such a heat-wave is now four times more likely as a result of human influence on climate.'' According to the study, by the year 2040 more than half of our summers could be warmer than last year's.

- Guardian Newspapers Limited 2004

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