The Hindu : Karnataka / Bangalore News : KERC issues draft regulations on load forecast

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Thursday, Aug 21, 2008
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Karnataka

Karnataka - Bangalore

KERC issues draft regulations on load forecast

Staff Reporter

Each distribution licensee is required to make a short-term forecast for five years
Long-term forecasts to be used for reinforce-ment planning of generation, T&D system

Bangalore: The Karnataka Electricity Regulatory Commission (KERC) has issued Draft KERC (Load Forecast) Regulations 2008 and has invited comments and suggestions on it.

According to the draft regulations, each distribution licensee is required to make a short-term forecast for five years and long-term for 15 years.

The licensees have to then submit the forecast to the Government, which after consolidation, will submit the same to the Central Electricity Authority (CEA).

The CEA will then finalise the short-term and long-term forecasts after consulting the State Government and other stakeholders.

The distribution licensee is then required to adopt the short-term and long-term forecast as approved by CEA.

The regulations say that load forecasting shall be the primary responsibility of the distribution licensee within their area of supply. The distribution licensee shall determine the peak load and energy forecasts of their areas as per the regulations issued by KERC from time to time.

The overall load forecast shall be used to determine the capacity of generation required to meet the shortfall in demand.

According to KERC’s draft regulations, long-term forecasts will be used for reinforcement planning of generation, transmission and distribution system, establishing future fuel requirement and examining the availability of natural fuel and water resources.

Mid-term forecasts are aimed at determining yearly or monthly peak, minimum load and energy requirements for one to five years for maintenance scheduling of generation and transmission equipment scheduling of captive power plants, scheduling of multipurpose hydro-electric power plants for irrigation, flood control, cooling water requirements and so on. Meanwhile, the short-term forecasts will be required for unit commitment and economic despatch calculations, maintenance scheduling updates, assessing load flaws, spinning reserve calculations, short-term inter-charge schedules with neighbouring systems, system security analysis, load management scheduling and optimisation of fuel shortage.

The complete draft regulations are available on KERC’s website ( www.kerc.org). Those interested may send their comments or suggestions to the commission by September 8, an official press release said.

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