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China’s history: set in ice, hidden in a cave


Dry periods coincided with the demise of

the Tang, Yuan and

Ming dynasties


— Photo: AP

Treasure-trove: A file photo of a stalactite in a cave in Guangxi, Southern China.

WASHINGTON: A stalagmite rising from the floor of a cave in China is providing clues to the end of several dynasties in Chinese history.

Slowly built from the minerals in dripping water over 1,810 years, chemicals in the stone tell a tale of strong and weak cycles of the monsoon, the life-giving rains that water crops to feed millions of people. Dry periods coincided with the demise of the Tang, Yuan and Ming dynasties, researchers report in latest edition of the journal Science.

In addition, the team led by Pingzhong Zhang of Lanzhou University, noted a change in the cycles around 1960 which they said may indicate that greenhouse gases released by human activities have become the dominant influence on the monsoon.

The Wanxiang Cave is in Gansu province, a region where 80 per cent of the rainfall occurs between May and September.

Chemical concentrations in the stalagmite indicate a series of fluctuations lasting from one to several centuries and roughly similar to records of the Little Ice Age, Medieval warm period and Dark Age cold period recorded in Europe.

There were decade-long fluctuations between 190 and 530 A.D., the end of the Han Dynasty and most of the Era of Disunity, said the researchers.

From 530 to 850, the monsoon declined, covering the end of the Era of Disunity, the Sui Dynasty and most of the Tang Dynasty.

The monsoon remained weak, with another sharp drop between 910 and 930, and then it rose sharply and remained strong until 1020.

The researchers found that after 1020, the monsoon varied but was generally strong until a sharp drop between 1340 and 1360: the mid 14th-century monsoon weakening. It stayed weak, with substantial fluctuation, until a sharp increase between 1850 and 1880.

According to the researchers, the 9th-century dry period contributed to the decline of the Tang Dynasty and the Mayans in Mesoamerica.

It also may have contributed to the lack of unity during the Five Dynasties and Ten Kingdoms period, they said.

The following strengthening of the monsoon may have contributed to the rapid increase in rice cultivation, the dramatic increase in population, and the general stability at the beginning of the Northern Song Dynasty, they suggested, adding the end of the Yuan and the end of the Ming are both characterised by unusually weak summer monsoons. — AP

Corrections and Clarifications

The caption of the accompanying AP photograph in a box story "Monsoon Clues - China's history: set in ice, hidden in a cave" ("International" page, November 9, 2008) was "Treasure-Trove: A file photo of a stalactite in a cave in Guangxi, Southern China." It should have been stalagmite, as mentioned in the text and as seen clearly in the picture. Stalactites are structures formed at the ceiling and stalagmites are formed on the floor by calcium salts deposited by dripping water.

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