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Thursday, May 20, 2004
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The Big Picture
State by State
Alliance effect, swing factor propelled DPA victory
The election results in Tamil Nadu have confirmed the reading that the Democratic Progressive Alliance (DPA) a grand alliance of the DMK, the Congress, the communist parties, the PMK, the MDMK, and the Muslim League was the most ...
Arithmetic and anti-incumbency knocked Naidu out
The simultaneous election in Andhra Pradesh became a referendum on Chandrababu Naidu's nine-year rule. While he saw an "anti-opposition wind" blowing in the State, the verdict delivered a double blow to the TDP-BJP alliance. Everything seems to ...
Kerala bucks the national trend, once again
For the first time in Kerala's electoral history, the Congress-led alliance has been defeated comprehensively. Only the 1967 election comes close, when the Congress bagged only the Mukundapuram seat. Even the more popular Congress leaders such as ...
A repeat of Assembly 2003
In December last, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh voted the Bharatiya Janata Party to power with comfortable margins, while Delhi returned the Congress to power. In Chhattisgarh, the BJP's victory was helped by the presence of the ...
A clear case of ticket-splitting in Karnataka
The voters in Karnataka have clearly distinguished between the Lok Sabha and the Assembly polls. The BJP won 18 of the 28 Lok Sabha seats, with the Congress getting eight and the Janata Dal (S) two. The Assembly verdict was more divided, with the ...
Voting was along religious lines
The Lok Sabha elections in Goa should be seen primarily as a statement on issues of national politics and only secondarily as a comment on the performance of the State government. The BJP is a relatively new entrant to Goa but has rapidly risen ...
BJP, Akalis reap a positive harvest
The BJP-Shiromani Akali Dal (Badal) (SAD (B)) swept the 2004 Lok Sabha elections, winning 11 of the 13 Lok Sabha seats in the State. The two alliance partners, the SAD (B) polled 34.3 per cent votes and the BJP polled 10.5 per cent vote. On ...
Voter satisfaction gave Congress a big win
The results from the four Lok Sabha seats in Himachal Pradesh indicate that there has been very little change in the popularity of the Congress in the State since the last Assembly elections held in 2003. The Congress had won 40 Assembly seats ...
Naveen Patnaik's popularity was the key
Orissa was one of the few States that withstood the Congress resurgence across India. Despite the dual dangers of incumbency at the State and national level, the Biju Janata Dal and the Bharatiya Janata Party were able to hold on to their ...
Shifting loyalties don't augur well for Congress, NCP
Maharashtra is one of the few States to have given a split verdict in this election. The BJP-Shiv Sena alliance won 25 of the 48 seats in the State and finished just ahead of the ruling Congress-NCP alliance that won 23 seats. In terms of votes ...
BJP's inadequacies show up in an election year
On the face of it, the Gujarat outcome looks like a draw: 14 seats to the Bharatiya Janata Party and 12 to the Congress. In terms of vote share too, the two parties have finished very close to each other. The BJP secured 47.4 per cent of the vote ...
BJP the real loser, Congress the real winner
As expected and as the polls predicted, the verdict in Uttar Pradesh was fractured. However, the striking feature of the results was the wide divergence between the votes secured and the seats won. The Congress won nine seats with 12.5 per cent ...
The journey towards a one party State
With the fragmentation of the Opposition and the inability of the Trinamool Congress to cross the electoral threshold, West Bengal has become virtually a one party State. The combined vote of the Congress as well as the Trinamool alliance did not ...
Congress, BJP evenly matched in Uttaranchal
The results of the 2004 Lok Sabha elections are in Uttaranchal are hardly different from the 1999 Lok Sabha elections. The two major political parties, the Congress and the BJP, polled more or less the same votes in both elections. In 1999 the ...
It was Laloo's charisma that tilted the scales in Bihar
Of the 37 seats for which elections have been completed in Bihar, the RJD and its allies won 26 seats and polled 45.1 per cent of the vote. The BJP and its allies could manage to win only 11 seats polling 37.1 per cent votes. This is almost a ...
JAMMU & KASHMIR
All major parties made their presence felt
The results from Jammu and Kashmir indicate that all the four main political parties the Congress, the Bharatiya Janata Party, the Jammu and Kashmir National Conference (JKNC) and the People's Democratic Party (PDP) registered ...
Voter discontent cost Chautala dear
The Congress swept the polls in Haryana winning nine of the 10 Lok Sabha seats, polling 42.1 per cent votes, nearly seven per cent higher than what it polled in the 1999 Lok Sabha elections. The BJP managed to win only the Sonepat seat. The ...
Split, swing combined to defeat BJP in Jharkhand
The swing and the split factor both worked against the ruling BJP in the first election in Jharkhand since its formation, pushing it into a humiliating defeat. The ruling BJP suffered a sharp decline in vote share of about 12.5 percentage ...
Assam: vote splitting helped Congress win
The 2004 electoral verdict in the North Eastern states presents a mixed picture. The Congress retained its position in Assam, though its tally slipped by one. On the other hand, it was the BJP itself and its allies, which made gains in the ...
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