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Exit or Exist
In my opinion, exit polls prove right. The exit polls predicted a narrowing gap between National Democratic Alliance and other Opposition parties. Refusing to attach "undue importance" to the exit polls is incorrect as most of them had shown NDA returning to power. Of course, there were occasions when they went wrong. The results of exit polls so far are from areas where the ruling combine has good expectation and the areas where there is a keen contest.
N. Swathichowdary,
II B.Tech (IT),
LITAM,
Sattenapalli, Guntur
Many newspapers, news magazines and TV news channels are conducting poll surveys and exit polls to appraise their readers/viewers about the latest opinion of the electorate. Many political parties, academicians and intellectuals are opposing these exit polls and poll surveys as these are likely to influence the opinion of the voters in casting their votes. Some parties are demanding a complete ban on the exit polls. Basically, it appears that they are in favour of the exit polls if predictions are favourable to their respective parties and oppose them when the swing is against them. The exit polls may not be 100 per cent correct, because the opinion of only a cross-section of people is considered. But they will certainly indicate the trend of the electorate. Exit polls of first phase may have a limited influence on the voters of second phase and so on. Therefore it is advisable that the exit polls are conducted in a most professional manner to depict a true picture. Many a time, exit poll results may go topsy-turvey, because the voters are increasingly becoming unpredictable.
Desu Avinash
10th class,
Amaleswari Vidya Niketan,
Machilipatnam
The very device of exit polls does go straight against the spirit of the secret ballot and does cause breach of trust at the social level. To be bluntly frank about it, exit poll is a mere gamble since it depends basically on the lottery technique. Particularly in the present awkwardly fluid and vitiated socio-political atmosphere, exit polls cannot be either logical or scientific and hence cannot be relied upon. In the scare-ridden, politically-charged atmosphere, no sensible voter would honestly reveal his/her preference for fear of inviting the use of the unpreferred. In such a situation, when the voter public, even on a sample plane, cannot come out honestly with the preference they make, what logical, scientific or even socio-moral sanction can any such exit polls claim?
Ch.Venkata Sandeep,
I B.Tech (E.C.E),
D.V.R. & Dr H.S., MIG College of Technology,
Kanchikacherla.
No. Because, exist polls show that the development of technological advancement of the electronic media in the country. In the earlier elections, this type of imagination did not prove right. The different exist polls are not correct and not same. Media organisations interview only a few persons, but the actual number of people casting their votes is many. Moreover, many persons did not get the opportunity to cast their votes as their names did not exist in the electoral rolls. Therefore, exist polls are not correct in the biggest democratic country.
L.S.Chatarji, B.A.B.L.,
Patamata, Vijayawada
Exit polls some times prove right and some times wrong. They are optional. Blindly believing them as facts is incorrect. In the last general elections, i.e. in 1999, the Election Commission prevented the conduct of the exit polls. However, following the orders of the Supreme Court, the exit polls could not be prevented. There is a talk that prohibition of opinion and exit polls is destroying citizens' fundamental rights. Exit polls are the views of people chosen on the basis of a scientific sample. So, blindly believing opinion and exit polls is not correct.
Abdul Azeem,
X Class, Sree Balajee Vidyalayam,
Machilipatnam.
Every private TV channel or a newspaper wants to impress its viewers or readers. So, they conduct exit polls.
Actually, the exit polls are based on a few voters (not more than 3000 voters). But, now our State has a population of appro-ximately eight crores. Every voter has a different opinion. So, how can we believe the exit poll results? I think, the exit polls don't prove right. I think there is no need to conduct exit polls. Because, after the elections, the Election Commission will anyhow announce the actual results.
R. Chinna Srinivasa Rao, M.Com., CCE, Guntur.
Exit polls may prove right, if they are not affiliated to any party and are done impartially. Sometimes, they go Topsy-turvy. Here are many factors that affect the results of exit polls. The surveyors should be given proper guidance. People from different classes, areas, age groups, castes and sexes should be given equal consideration and should be surveyed carefully. Many exit poll surveys had proved right before. But, nowadays, we find these results to be poles apart from the actual ones. Since, these exit polls from different surveys have large variations, people do not seem to have faith in them. Exit polls are the source of unnecessary excitement, trouble, disappointment among parties and among public.
Sailaja Muvva,
IV/IV B.Tech (Civil)
K.L.College of Engineering,
Green Fields.
I Strongly feel that exit polls do give some idea about the chances of the contestants. Government cannot ban opinion polls since it is the fundamental right of everybody to publish or speak anything. There are many sources of information such as newspapers, magazines, TV, Radio, Websites etc. If it is acceptable for people to read and listen to news from so many sources, which have their own inherent bias, why should exit and opinion polls be banned ? They are just an addition to a whole plethora of sources. All conclusions are subject to a margin of error. The accuracy decreases with the increase in parameters. Unlike other countries, the parameters involved are numerous in India. Opinion polls, no doubt, should continue, so as to cater to the interest among those who follow them.
Publishing the results of exit polls while elections are still in progress is neither illegal nor unconstitutional. But no political party is inclined to accept the results of opinion polls as long as they are not in their favour. I feel that exit polls are as interesting and good as the astrological predictions published in the media. They make some happy and others unhappy.
Y. Sateesh Kumar,
II/IV B.Tech, EEE
KLCE, Vaddeswaram.
No. I don't think exit polls prove right. The results of these exit polls are based on thousands of voters when there are crores of voters in the Sate. Most of these exit polls are contradicting each other. According to an exit poll, the ruling party is going to win with great majority. According to another exit poll, the opposition party is going to win with great majority. And another exit poll says there will be a tight competition between the two parties. So, we can't know which of these is right until the results of elections conducted are announced. Therefore, I don't find these exit polls correct.
C. Pramod,
Brodipet, Guntur -2.
The concept of exit polls does not prove to be right in a country like ours with a population of one billion with a majority of people living below the poverty line, with poor literacy rate and low per capita income and observing different castes, religions, beliefs and languages. Exit polls in such a situation cannot be conducted in a scientific and fair manner. It is amply proved that different exit polls conducted by different organizations are giving diagonally opposite results. Exit polls are conducted with a sample only. These samples do not represent the entire mass.
The exit polls conducted during the recent Assembly elections in Gujarat, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chattisgarh are a glaring example that the actual results of elections would always be different from exit poll result, whereas in developed countries the exit polls reflect the actual picture because of their homogeneous social conditions.
V.Subha Lakshmi
MBA, ICFAI National College, Vijayawada.
Some journalists, private organizations, televisions and magazines conduct surveys to elicit people's opinion as to which party can form a government in the State. Actually, this exit poll proves to be right when they are conducted in a sincere way without showing any favouritism. But, today's politicians bribe the surveyors and change the exit poll results. Every party has some favourite journalists and magazines. They highlight their favourite party and they give exit poll results in such a way that the party, which they are supporting, gets the majority vote. This kind of exit polls will have direct impact on people and they try to change the mind of neutral voters. These exit polls also show their effect on the second phase of polling in the State.
Therefore, it cannot be said that exit polls are always true. When journalist, television, media etc., are dedicated and sincere towards their work without the influence of politicians, the surveys should consist of correct data. Then exit poll results may become true.
V. Sasidhar, MBA,
ICFAI National College,
Vijayawada.
Exit poll, this is the word that we frequently hear during the time of elections. These exit polls provide the necessary information regarding the poll survey and also give the necessary statistics regarding the polling of votes. Sometimes, these exit polls prove to be correct and sometimes they prove wrong. We can infer this fact from the previous election reports where sometimes the surveys proved right and sometimes it proved to be wrong. Exit polls create an impression among the common people that one party or a group may come to power. And, people may get carried away by the predictions.
Chaitanya Nimmagadda,
ICFAI National College,
Vijayawada.
Exit polls help identify issues of public interest. They identify the perception of the sample on various activities of political parties. In these fronts, exit polls prove correct. However, they may not materialize because of the diversity in Indian politics.
The methodology for carrying out exit polls is also not professional as the newspapers associated with the predictions are some times using their reporters to do the field work, and most of the papers are disposed in favour of or against a political party. The sampling work is also not professional as the field agent is picking people at random without any knowledge of their background and whether they are traditionally associated with a party.
This is bringing divergent and faulty views in States.
K.Ravi Kumar,
MBA,
ICFAI National College, Vijayawada.
In my opinion, these exit polls are not giving the right opinion. It shows some effect on voters' opinion and influence them. I think exit polls should not be given in between the elections, but they may be given after the elections. These exit polls regarding poll results may or may not give the right predictions, but they affect our country's economy, as we can see the stock market prices coming down. So, whether they are right or wrong, the predictions should not be released.
Exit polls are not a correct phenomenon for the Indian polity when the sampling is difficult because of the diversity in the population.
D.Siva Kumar,
MBA, INC,
Vijayawada.
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