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The methodology

This analysis is based on a post-election survey conducted by the Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS), Delhi, exclusively for The Hindu. The field work for the survey was conducted on December 1 and 2. The voters were interviewed in their homes soon after the voting was over on December 1. The entire field work was completed before the counting began. The interviews were conducted using a standard, structured questionnaire. In order to maintain confidentiality, dummy ballot papers and dummy ballot boxes were used while eliciting from the respondents the answer to the voting question.

The sample was selected in three stages. First, the Assembly constituencies were selected. Then the localities where the survey would be done were chosen. Finally the respondents who would be interviewed were identified.

In Rajasthan, the survey was conducted in a sample of 50 constituencies out of the total of 200.

The second stage of sampling involved the selection of localities. In each of the 50 Assembly constituencies, four localities were randomly selected. Thus, 200 localities were chosen. The third stage involved the selection of respondents. They were randomly selected from the electoral rolls. In order to account for any non-response from the chosen voters, a slightly higher number of respondents was selected than the actual number of interviews that were expected to be conducted. Of the total of 4,000 respondents, 3,102 were interviewed in Rajasthan.

A team of 100 field investigators conducted the field work. It was coordinated by Dr. Sanjay Lodha of the Mohan Lal Sukhadia University, Udaipur.

The central team at the CSDS comprised Himanshu Bhattacharya, Banasmita Bora, Chetan Bahrmoria, Abhay Datar, K.A.Q.A. Hilal, Bhaskar Jha, Purushottam Kumar Jha, Dhananjai Joshi, Rajat Joshi, Manoj Kumar, Kanchan Malhotra and Ved Prakash.

Similar analysis pertaining to the elections in Delhi was published in these columns yesterday. The series will continue tomorrow.

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